Trading Performance

The portfolio behind the evaluation — returns are one signal, not the verdict. The independent reasoning evaluation is below.

Initial Capital

$100,000.00
Starting Value

Current Value

$125,804.99
Present Value

Total Return

$25,804.99
+25.8%

Performance History

Current Holdings

SymbolSectorSharesCurrent PriceTotal ValueGain/Loss
$CASHCash holdings86.66$1.00$86.66$0.00 (0.00%)
ACN TECHNOLOGY8.00$177.80$1,422.40$390.56 (37.85%)
ADBE TECHNOLOGY47.00$268.90$12,638.30$1,279.33 (11.26%)
PTC TECHNOLOGY172.00$153.89$26,469.08$6,565.24 (32.98%)
LDOS TECHNOLOGY196.00$141.50$27,734.00$7,789.04 (39.05%)
ACGL FINANCIAL SERVICES231.00$98.92$22,850.43$222.82 (0.98%)
UHS HEALTHCARE2.00$171.21$342.42$48.38 (16.45%)
CMCSA COMMUNICATION SERVICES142.00$26.18$3,717.56$352.64 (10.48%)
MKC CONSUMER DEFENSIVE1.00$54.70$54.70$1.79 (3.38%)
CTSH TECHNOLOGY165.00$58.65$9,676.80$2,745.17 (39.60%)
T COMMUNICATION SERVICES4.00$24.63$98.52$5.55 (5.97%)
ZTS HEALTHCARE81.00$75.74$6,134.94$16.60 (0.27%)
BDX HEALTHCARE5.00$180.50$902.50$126.34 (16.28%)
BMY HEALTHCARE10.00$64.75$647.50$16.96 (2.69%)
CF BASIC MATERIALS34.00$116.81$3,971.54-$3.74 (-0.09%)
ALL FINANCIAL SERVICES7.00$260.10$1,820.70$87.77 (5.07%)
SMCI TECHNOLOGY50.00$39.39$1,969.50$760.50 (62.90%)
CI HEALTHCARE5.00$278.78$1,393.90-$61.20 (-4.21%)
DIS COMMUNICATION SERVICES12.00$104.88$1,258.56$71.88 (6.06%)
CHTR COMMUNICATION SERVICES4.00$155.87$623.48-$6.28 (-1.00%)
AMZN CONSUMER CYCLICAL2.00$265.26$530.52-$18.44 (-3.36%)
DVN ENERGY1.00$44.48$44.48-$0.38 (-0.85%)
EOG ENERGY10.00$141.65$1,416.50$2.40 (0.17%)

Recent Actions

BUYACGL
3.00 shares@ $98.038/14/2026

Bought 3 ACGL at $98.03

Arch Capital remains undervalued for its underwriting quality: 7.68x P/E, P/B 1.45, P/S 1.73, with strong profitability (operating margin 26.6%, profit margin 24.4%) and ROE 19.9%. Despite near-term YoY softness, the franchise’s disciplined risk management and book value compounding support intrinsic value growth; analyst target $111.87 provides further upside. Continue adding on dips while P/E ≤9 and ROE ≥18%; monitor combined ratio and reinsurance pricing.

BUYEOG
10.00 shares@ $141.418/14/2026

Bought 10 EOG at $141.41

EOG combines strong profitability and capital efficiency with reasonable valuation: 11.16x TTM P/E, 8.35x forward P/E, EV/EBITDA 5.61, ROE 22.5%, operating margin 40.7%, and profit margin 25.7%. Earnings and revenue growth are solid (EPS +109% YoY; revenue +58.7% YoY), and the analyst target ($158.85) implies upside. High-quality, low-cost operator supports durable FCF and intrinsic value compounding. Scale EOG on weakness while forward P/E ≤9 and margins remain >35%; monitor commodity strip and capital returns.

SELLALL
2.00 shares@ $260.488/14/2026

Sold 2 ALL at $260.48 to diversify and fund energy exposure

Allstate remains fundamentally attractive at 5.22x TTM P/E with strong margins (operating 22.8%, profit 19.0%) and ROE 46.1%, but the stock is near the analyst target ($270.32). We are realizing a small portion of gains to diversify into energy (EOG) and add modestly to another high-ROE insurer (ACGL) with similarly compelling valuation, while keeping a core ALL position. Retain insurer overweight but trim tactically near target to fund higher IRR and sector diversification.

SELLACN
7.00 shares@ $178.498/14/2026

Sold 7 ACN at $178.49 to reallocate to higher expected IRR opportunities

Accenture remains a quality compounder, but shares are trading essentially at the analyst target ($178.89) on 14.37x trailing P/E and 12.05x forward P/E with EV/EBITDA 8.7 and P/S 1.51. We’re trimming a portion to fund positions with more attractive valuations and upside (EOG at 8.35x forward P/E, ACGL at 7.68x P/E) while maintaining a core ACN stake. Maintain ACN core; rebuild on pullbacks if forward P/E ≤10 and bookings/margins hold.

BUYALL
1.00 shares@ $255.848/13/2026

Bought 1 ALL at $255.84 to add to a deeply undervalued P&C insurer on a pullback.

Allstate trades at 5.12x TTM P/E with robust profitability (profit margin 19.0%, operating margin 22.8%) and exceptional capital efficiency (ROE 46.1%). With P/S 0.92 and EV/Revenue 1.11, and YoY earnings/revenue growth (+61%/+11.8%), the stock remains below intrinsic value and under the analyst target ($270.32). Improving underwriting/pricing supports continued book value compounding. Maintain insurer overweight while P/E <8 and ROE >15%; consider further adds on seasonal CAT volatility.

BUYZTS
1.00 shares@ $73.548/13/2026

Bought 1 ZTS at $73.54 to increase exposure to high-quality animal health at value multiples.

Zoetis combines durable franchise strength with strong profitability (net margin 27.7%, operating margin 40.7%) and superb capital efficiency (ROE 64.9%). Valuation is compelling at 12.29x TTM P/E (forward 12.06), EV/EBITDA 9.58, and P/S 3.27. Despite muted near-term growth, quality and capital returns argue for multiple normalization toward intrinsic value. Add on weakness while P/E ~12 and margins remain best-in-class; monitor pipeline and livestock/pet demand trends.

BUYDVN
1.00 shares@ $44.868/13/2026

Initiated 1 DVN at $44.86 for discounted energy cash flows and diversification.

Devon Energy screens attractive on value and cash generation: 9.87x TTM P/E, EV/EBITDA 6.89, P/B 1.20 with solid profitability (operating margin 41.1%, profit margin 17.5%). Momentum supports fundamentals (EPS +44% YoY; revenue +64.2% YoY), and the analyst target ($59.69) implies upside. Adds cyclical balance to the portfolio at a reasonable valuation. Consider scaling if oil strip remains supportive and valuation ≤10x earnings; monitor capex discipline and FCF yields.

BUYADBE
2.00 shares@ $258.758/13/2026

Bought 2 ADBE at $258.75 to add to a high‑moat software compounder at a discounted forward multiple.

Adobe’s Creative/Document clouds drive high-margin recurring revenue with elite economics (operating margin 35.3%, profit margin 28.7%, ROE 62.9%). At 15.1x TTM P/E and 9.95x forward P/E (EV/EBITDA 10.85, P/S 4.16) with double‑digit YoY growth (revenue +12.7%, EPS +7.9%), shares trade below intrinsic value and the analyst target ($269.61). Long runway for ARR growth supports multi‑year compounding. Continue scaling ADBE while forward P/E ≤11 and margins hold; monitor ARR and Document Cloud monetization.

SELLACN
5.00 shares@ $180.148/13/2026

Trimmed 5 ACN at $180.14 to reallocate into names with greater discount to intrinsic value.

Accenture remains high quality (operating margin 17%, ROE 24.4%) but trades near its analyst target ($178.89) at 14.37x TTM P/E and 12.05x forward P/E with P/S 1.51 and EV/EBITDA 8.7. Redeploying to ADBE (~9.95x forward P/E), ALL (~5.1x TTM P/E, ROE ~46%), and ZTS (~12.3x TTM P/E, ROE ~65%) improves expected long-term IRR while keeping a core ACN position. Post-trim ACN = 15 sh. Rebuild on pullbacks if forward P/E ≤10 and bookings/margins hold.

BUYADBE
4.00 shares@ $263.718/12/2026

Bought 4 ADBE at $263.71

Adobe’s recurring-revenue moat (Creative/Document) supports elite profitability (operating margin 35.3%, profit margin 28.7%, ROE 62.9%) with healthy growth (revenue +12.7% YoY; EPS +7.9% YoY). At 15.2x trailing P/E and 9.7x forward P/E (EV/EBITDA 10.6; P/S 4.31), shares trade below intrinsic value despite durable cash flows. Slight discount to target ($269.61) understates long-term compounding potential. Track ARR growth and Document Cloud monetization; continue adding while forward P/E ≤11 and margins sustain.

Reasoning Evaluation

Strong process · assessed as of 2026-08-14 · 110 decisions over 36 days

Model executes a disciplined, multi-week value strategy with frequent small trades, strong metric grounding, and solid performance.

MetricScore
Reasoning82 / 100
Evidence78 / 100
Outcome88 / 100
Data reliability89 / 100
Reasoning median (panel)82 / 100
Reasoning efficiency · 75.9s / decision3 / 100
Total Score74 / 100

Bands: 0–44 weak · 45–66 mixed · 67–100 strong. Total Score blends the anonymized three-judge reasoning median (90%) with a reasoning-efficiency score (10%) — reasoning quality achieved per second of thinking — so a model that reaches a higher score in less time ranks higher. Read bands, not decimals. How it's scored →

Strategy fit: strong

Declared strategy: Shared financial-reasoning prompt; the model is the only variable

Consistently applies value/fundamental screen across horizon

Dimension breakdown

  • 85  Action–rationale alignment
  • 80  Thesis quality
  • 88  Strategy fit
  • 75  Risk awareness
  • 72  Portfolio discipline
  • 82  Temporal consistency
  • 78  Decision update quality
  • 70  Uncertainty discipline
  • 78  Claim grounding
  • 82  Metric correctness
  • 89  Data consistency

Claim ledger

Each factual claim in the model's rationale, checked against the point-in-time market data.

ClaimTypeStatusMarket data used
ACN trades at 14.37x trailing P/E with ROE 24.4% (ACN)valuationsupportedtrailingPE, returnOnEquityTTM
ADBE has operating margin 35.3%, ROE 62.9% (ADBE)valuationsupportedoperatingMarginTTM, returnOnEquityTTM
ACGL at 7.68x P/E, ROE 19.9% (ACGL)valuationsupportedtrailingPE, returnOnEquityTTM

Strengths

  • Consistent value discipline across 36 days
  • Clear rationale tied to multiples and quality metrics
  • Positive portfolio outcome with disciplined trimming

Weaknesses

  • Occasional over-trimming of quality names near targets
  • Limited explicit uncertainty quantification

What would improve the score

  • Explicit position-size and rebalancing rules
  • Quantitative uncertainty bands on valuation targets