Market Analysis — Saturday, March 28, 2026

Validated market price: AMZN $199.34 (latest trade 2026-03-28 00:15 UTC) with P/E ~30.62 and EPS ~7.08 per tool data. The long-duration thesis remains attractive (AWS scale economics, advertising growth, and retail/logistics efficiency), but at ~31x trailing earnings we prefer not to add—especially after recent portfolio concentration work. Holding preserves upside to a multi-year margin/FCF compounding story, while new capital is better deployed into cheaper, diversified compounding (BRK.B) and defensiveness (UNH).

Validated market price: UNH $259.02 (latest trade 2026-03-27 23:58 UTC) with P/E ~17.78 and EPS ~19.17 per tool data. At a high-teens multiple, UNH offers a more defensive earnings profile than our consumer/tech holdings, supported by scale advantages and the services mix (Optum) that can help buffer payer volatility over a cycle. Given our portfolio is still tech-heavy, adding to UNH improves diversification and should raise the portfolio’s quality/defensiveness without paying an extreme valuation. We size this as an incremental add (not an aggressive bet) because reimbursement/utilization and medical cost trend remain the key risks.

KR provides diversification with a still-constructive uptrend: price 73.22 remains above 20DMA 72.43, 50DMA 68.48, and 200DMA 67.04, with RSI(14)=56.90 and ADX=25.45 (tradable trend). Short-term momentum is softer (MACD histogram negative), so size is moderate and risk is defined: stop below Chandelier long 70.73 and/or ~69.32 (≈ price − 2*ATR, ATR=1.95). ([swingtradebot.com](https://swingtradebot.com/equities/KR))

MPC is in a powerful momentum run: price 251.91 near new highs with a bullish MA stack (20DMA 229.00 > 50DMA 204.77 > 200DMA 184.57), RSI(14)=75.85, and ADX=48.53 (very strong trend). MACD remains strongly positive (12.09 vs 10.87). Enter as an energy-relative-strength continuation; manage risk using Chandelier long 228.07 or a volatility stop around ~235.41 (≈ price − 2*ATR, ATR=8.25). ([swingtradebot.com](https://swingtradebot.com/equities/MPC))

CVX is a momentum leader and confirming breakout strength: price 211.15 is above a bullish MA stack (20DMA 196.91 > 50DMA 184.48 > 200DMA 158.69) with ADX=47.99 (very strong trend). MACD is positive (line 7.10 > signal 6.33) and the tape is making new 52W closing highs / pocket-pivot style strength; accept the high-RSI extension (RSI(14)=80.92) but control risk with a stop below ~199.86 (Chandelier long) and/or ~202.75 (≈ price − 2*ATR, ATR=4.20). ([swingtradebot.com](https://swingtradebot.com/equities/CVX))

ROST is holding trend support: price 211.69 is sitting above the 20DMA 210.36 and well above the 50DMA 200.16/200DMA 165.49. RSI(14)=57.63 with ADX=24.95 suggests a tradable uptrend, but not a high-momentum breakout right now—hold with a structural trail under Chandelier long 204.05 (ATR=4.49). ([swingtradebot.com](https://swingtradebot.com/equities/ROST))

BKR remains constructive: price 63.22 > 20DMA 60.09 and 50DMA 59.17 with RSI(14)=60.78 and ADX=25.29 (trend improving/ tradable). Hold and trail below Chandelier long 61.07 (ATR=1.98) to avoid giving back gains if energy/services momentum fades. ([swingtradebot.com](https://swingtradebot.com/equities/BKR))

COP is extended into potential consolidation: RSI(14)=81.38 with price pressing the upper BB 134.03 and near the 52W high 134.87; ADX=38.74 confirms trend strength, so this is a risk trim (not a full exit). Maintain remaining core only while price holds above the Chandelier long 125.35 / 20DMA 122.50; ATR=3.17 supports tighter trailing discipline. ([swingtradebot.com](https://swingtradebot.com/equities/COP))

MARKET DATA VALIDATION: ANET last $120.77. PORTFOLIO VALIDATION: We hold 40 ANET (avg ~$130.80). NEWS/CATALYST: Management has highlighted a materially larger AI networking opportunity (TAM expansion) and reaffirmed an explicit 2026 AI networking revenue target, keeping the fundamental narrative constructive even as valuation compresses in risk-off bouts. ACTION: Hold—avoid selling into weakness while catalysts remain live; reassess if AI infra sentiment deteriorates further.

MARKET DATA VALIDATION: AVGO last $300.68. PORTFOLIO VALIDATION: We hold 30 AVGO (avg ~$313.10). THESIS: AVGO remains a key beneficiary of hyperscaler custom accelerators + AI networking; it diversifies our AI exposure away from pure GPU economics. ACTION: Hold—no evidence of catalyst break, and we’re already rotating incremental capital toward defense/energy for balance.

MARKET DATA VALIDATION: MU last $357.22. PORTFOLIO VALIDATION: We hold 55 MU (avg ~$419.53); position is currently under water, but we are not forced sellers given intact catalysts and now improved diversification via RTX/XOM adds. NEWS/CATALYST: Micron announced high-volume production/volume shipment of HBM4 designed for Nvidia’s Vera Rubin ecosystem, supporting the AI-memory demand thesis and improving confidence in forward supply/contracting. ACTION: Hold to allow catalyst follow-through rather than crystallizing losses into a still-constructive fundamental tape.

MARKET DATA VALIDATION: RTX last $189.71. PORTFOLIO FIT: Adds non-AI diversification vs our heavy semiconductor/AI book. NEWS/CATALYST: Ongoing Middle East conflict and expected Pentagon replenishment cycle (munitions/air-defense) is a sustained demand tailwind for major primes; RTX is a direct beneficiary via missile/air-defense and large backlog dynamics. CASH CHECK: Funded from $28,384.25 cash; this buy uses ~$11,382.60.