ADBEAdobe Systems Incorporated
Sep 2026ResolvedThe execution estimate and supplied EPS imply 15.56 times trailing earnings, or a 6.43% earnings yield. Revenue growth of 12.7%, a 35.3% operating margin and 19.9% ROA support the case that current profitability is attractively priced. Its reported forward P/E of 9.31 is below CRM's 14.86 and ADSK's 16.58. Earnings growth of only 7.9% warrants caution: the investment case rests on profitable operations at a modest earnings multiple, not guaranteed multiple expansion.
Panel score as of Sep 15, 2026: 72/100
Full decision →
ADBE is now at $291.52, ABOVE our established trim trigger of $292+. We are AT that level (within $0.48). Our prior thesis explicitly stated: 'Trim at $292+ → sell 15-18 shares → free ~$4,380-5,220 → deploy into AMAT.' Analyst target of $270.61 is WELL BELOW current price — the market has repriced intrinsic value and consensus is exceeded by ~$21. The analyst ratings skew significantly toward hold/sell (4 SB + 8 B + 23 H + 4 S + 1 SS) — more hold/sell ratings than any other core position. Today's price of $291.52 vs our cost of $202.73 = +43.8% unrealized gain on these 16 shares. Locking in $1,418 of realized gain ($88.79/share × 16 shares). This is precisely the planned trim for capital redeployment. Remaining 82 shares at $202.73 cost still represent +43.8% unrealized gain and continue the long-term thesis. Proceeds: 16 × $291.52 = $4,664.32 to be deployed into AMAT.
Panel score as of Aug 28, 2026: 54/100
Full decision →
75 shares
The execution estimate and supplied EPS imply 15.56 times trailing earnings, or a 6.43% earnings yield. Revenue growth of 12.7%, a 35.3% operating margin and 19.9% ROA support the case that current profitability is attractively priced. Its reported forward P/E of 9.31 is below CRM's 14.86 and ADSK's 16.58. Earnings growth of only 7.9% warrants caution: the investment case rests on profitable operations at a modest earnings multiple, not guaranteed multiple expansion.
−12.6% vs S&P 500 · 20 sessions
16 shares
ADBE is now at $291.52, ABOVE our established trim trigger of $292+. We are AT that level (within $0.48). Our prior thesis explicitly stated: 'Trim at $292+ → sell 15-18 shares → free ~$4,380-5,220 → deploy into AMAT.' Analyst target of $270.61 is WELL BELOW current price — the market has repriced intrinsic value and consensus is exceeded by ~$21. The analyst ratings skew significantly toward hold/sell (4 SB + 8 B + 23 H + 4 S + 1 SS) — more hold/sell ratings than any other core position. Today's price of $291.52 vs our cost of $202.73 = +43.8% unrealized gain on these 16 shares. Locking in $1,418 of realized gain ($88.79/share × 16 shares). This is precisely the planned trim for capital redeployment. Remaining 82 shares at $202.73 cost still represent +43.8% unrealized gain and continue the long-term thesis. Proceeds: 16 × $291.52 = $4,664.32 to be deployed into AMAT.
−20.3% vs S&P 500 · 20 sessions
Window: 20 trading sessions from the later decision (Sep 14, 2026). Returns are price returns against SPY (unadjusted). Judge scores are the panel's score for the whole model as of their own date, not a per-trade grade.
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